Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 291.134106 330.139622 373.773533 426.454271 488.666840 560.205318 649.280987
2025-01-12 231.244633 281.389044 342.709086 424.203430 531.174259 668.955413 863.439006
2025-01-19 190.886182 242.559897 309.357674 403.782441 536.734839 721.871350 1007.774320
2025-01-26 175.517677 231.590962 307.702714 421.433258 592.265869 848.395238 1280.349283
2025-02-02 165.698211 225.940898 311.308638 445.399442 659.159323 1002.807757 1634.356568
2025-02-09 151.736318 212.307433 301.113976 446.324499 689.390595 1103.731634 1923.967213
2025-02-16 137.267266 196.111701 284.814040 434.748793 696.220909 1164.862861 2155.210969
2025-02-23 125.711261 183.014984 271.598258 425.967851 705.652178 1231.352771 2415.022960
2025-03-02 119.778759 177.939300 270.327252 436.785119 751.417892 1375.440465 2887.591143
2025-03-09 112.555270 170.066150 263.542544 436.819842 776.564750 1483.035154 3312.476323
2025-03-16 104.643428 160.356489 252.664550 427.933916 782.513106 1550.734597 3660.895147
2025-03-23 99.169344 154.212430 247.256652 428.453389 807.471070 1665.977337 4183.287844
2025-03-30 92.469224 145.630175 237.072683 419.149442 811.458917 1736.374921 4616.617256
2025-04-06 87.410548 139.506738 230.776724 416.845511 830.706196 1849.924585 5244.015252
2025-04-13 80.435459 129.516365 216.564086 396.863527 806.648030 1846.580760 5476.797566
2025-04-20 78.968203 129.171045 220.177791 414.137870 872.635568 2102.511065 6796.440460
2025-04-27 78.275528 130.141803 226.329815 437.587012 958.366384 2442.284307 8705.261005
2025-05-04 75.022879 126.144325 222.459588 438.491977 987.111632 2620.017786 10048.266475
2025-05-11 70.721898 119.897281 213.628706 427.166977 981.641291 2687.412078 10912.049228
2025-05-18 67.043794 114.603521 206.318529 418.575160 982.327356 2776.647212 11974.276041
2025-05-25 65.527069 113.345765 207.122254 429.159314 1038.757220 3079.672990 14567.640489
2025-06-01 63.111143 110.181036 203.711986 429.193286 1064.830029 3282.013649 16777.768768
2025-06-08 60.081957 105.630849 197.050055 420.498960 1063.383024 3378.868967 18384.786895